Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.000282 0.000315 0.000351 0.000393 0.000440 0.000493 0.000554
2025-01-19 0.000209 0.000253 0.000306 0.000373 0.000456 0.000558 0.000691
2025-01-26 0.000175 0.000226 0.000289 0.000377 0.000494 0.000647 0.000865
2025-02-02 0.000157 0.000213 0.000287 0.000394 0.000547 0.000760 0.001086
2025-02-09 0.000138 0.000193 0.000271 0.000390 0.000567 0.000829 0.001252
2025-02-16 0.000124 0.000181 0.000263 0.000393 0.000598 0.000915 0.001455
2025-02-23 0.000112 0.000168 0.000252 0.000390 0.000616 0.000982 0.001638
2025-03-02 0.000103 0.000158 0.000245 0.000392 0.000643 0.001065 0.001860
2025-03-09 0.000094 0.000149 0.000237 0.000391 0.000663 0.001139 0.002076
2025-03-16 0.000084 0.000136 0.000220 0.000373 0.000652 0.001156 0.002188
2025-03-23 0.000078 0.000129 0.000216 0.000375 0.000676 0.001240 0.002441
2025-03-30 0.000075 0.000128 0.000218 0.000390 0.000725 0.001378 0.002827
2025-04-06 0.000069 0.000119 0.000208 0.000381 0.000730 0.001432 0.003054
2025-04-13 0.000062 0.000109 0.000193 0.000363 0.000713 0.001441 0.003186
2025-04-20 0.000058 0.000104 0.000190 0.000367 0.000742 0.001552 0.003576
2025-04-27 0.000057 0.000104 0.000193 0.000384 0.000802 0.001738 0.004186
2025-05-04 0.000053 0.000099 0.000187 0.000379 0.000814 0.001819 0.004549
2025-05-11 0.000050 0.000095 0.000184 0.000383 0.000844 0.001946 0.005062
2025-05-18 0.000047 0.000091 0.000179 0.000379 0.000858 0.002034 0.005485
2025-05-25 0.000045 0.000088 0.000176 0.000382 0.000885 0.002162 0.006053
2025-06-01 0.000042 0.000084 0.000172 0.000381 0.000904 0.002271 0.006590
2025-06-08 0.000039 0.000078 0.000162 0.000363 0.000880 0.002262 0.006756
2025-06-15 0.000037 0.000076 0.000159 0.000365 0.000906 0.002395 0.007415